Round 11 · simulation 34 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.112 to 13.01.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.01 (+0.112)
In: 12.90
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
204
In: 192
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.3210.54+0.2175
Strategic Infrastructure14.0114.05+0.0393
National Security9.499.50+0.0135
Human Capital15.6615.78+0.1231
Information & Influence13.4313.60+0.1694 → 3
Governance & Integrity12.2512.25+0.0039
Financial Strength13.6213.69+0.0719 → 8
Production & Innovation13.1613.20+0.0443
Trade & Investment14.1514.48+0.3275

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 452, plus 192 carried in. Maintenance 328. Spent 113 on actions (build 45, buy 23, partner 45). 204 carried over.

  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access23 credits for 1.03 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 17 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade23 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems23 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance23 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education23 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.88+1.810.000.00+0.07
Advanced Education+1.01+0.970.000.00+0.04
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.92+0.920.000.000.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.90+0.870.000.00+0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.76+0.760.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.54+0.510.000.00+0.02