Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.115 to 13.13.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.13 (+0.115)
- In: 13.01
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 205
- In: 194
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.54 | 10.58 | +0.047 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.05 | 14.09 | +0.036 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.50 | 9.52 | +0.022 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.78 | 15.93 | +0.153 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.60 | 13.62 | +0.018 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.25 | 12.26 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.69 | 13.76 | +0.071 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.20 | 13.33 | +0.126 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.48 | 15.04 | +0.558 | 5 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 460, plus 194 carried in. Maintenance 336. Spent 113 on actions (build 23, partner 91). 205 carried over.
- PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion23 credits for 1.22 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 2 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication23 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access23 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education23 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics23 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.34 | +1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +1.02 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.90 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.81 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.79 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.71 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 |