Round 16 · simulation 34 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.112 to 13.62.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.62 (+0.112)
In: 13.51
Rank by index
21
In: 21
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
133
In: 150
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.4811.84+0.3594
Strategic Infrastructure14.1714.26+0.0873
National Security9.749.75+0.0175
Human Capital16.5316.62+0.0841
Information & Influence14.2114.23+0.0223
Governance & Integrity12.3312.39+0.0659
Financial Strength13.9213.93+0.0068
Production & Innovation13.5213.54+0.0243
Trade & Investment15.6515.99+0.3421

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 477, plus 150 carried in. Maintenance 377. Spent 118 on actions (build 24, buy 71, partner 24). 133 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation24 credits for 1.64 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 2 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems24 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure24 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls24 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade24 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.70+1.640.000.00+0.06
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.65+1.640.000.00+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.84+0.820.000.00+0.02
Digital & Services Trade+0.81+0.800.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.65+0.650.000.00+0.01