Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.146 to 13.51.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.51 (+0.146)
- In: 13.36
- Rank by index
- 21
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 158
- In: 172
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.27 | 11.48 | +0.207 | 5 → 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.15 | 14.17 | +0.023 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.65 | 9.74 | +0.091 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.33 | 16.53 | +0.205 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.79 | 14.21 | +0.421 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.29 | 12.33 | +0.035 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.85 | 13.92 | +0.072 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.49 | 13.52 | +0.031 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.42 | 15.65 | +0.234 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 470, plus 172 carried in. Maintenance 367. Spent 116 on actions (buy 70, partner 47). 158 carried over.
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation23 credits for 0.87 levelsmctsahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 2 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence23 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection23 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies23 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance23 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.67 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.60 | +1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.96 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.86 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.84 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | +0.80 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |