Round 18 · simulation 34 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.105 to 13.85.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.85 (+0.105)
In: 13.74
Rank by index
19
In: 20
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
65
In: 96
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.1612.39+0.2354
Strategic Infrastructure14.3414.36+0.0233
National Security9.779.79+0.0165
Human Capital16.6816.71+0.0351
Information & Influence14.2614.28+0.0273
Governance & Integrity12.4612.52+0.0669
Financial Strength14.2514.36+0.1117 → 6
Production & Innovation13.5613.77+0.2052
Trade & Investment16.2216.45+0.2271

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 485, plus 96 carried in. Maintenance 395. Spent 120 on actions (build 24, buy 48, partner 48). 65 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance24 credits for 0.66 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 24 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position24 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion24 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies24 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies24 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.55+1.540.000.00+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.35+1.310.000.00+0.04
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.76+0.750.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.75+0.750.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.67+0.660.000.00+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.59+0.590.000.000.00