Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.113 to 13.96.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.96 (+0.113)
- In: 13.85
- Rank by index
- 18
- In: 19
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 25
- In: 62
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 12.39 | 12.64 | +0.250 | 4 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.36 | 14.39 | +0.028 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.79 | 9.80 | +0.015 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.71 | 16.75 | +0.034 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 14.28 | 14.43 | +0.142 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.52 | 12.56 | +0.038 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 14.36 | 14.47 | +0.110 | 6 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.77 | 13.94 | +0.170 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.45 | 16.68 | +0.233 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 492, plus 62 carried in. Maintenance 408. Spent 121 on actions (buy 48, partner 73). 25 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance24 credits for 0.67 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 5 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence24 credits for 1.45 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics24 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity24 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks24 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 6 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.66 | +1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.07 | +1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.76 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.75 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.70 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Space Technologies | +0.67 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |