Round 16 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.093 to 11.54.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.54 (+0.093)
In: 11.44
Rank by index
32
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
367
In: 344
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.679.97+0.3025
Strategic Infrastructure9.549.59+0.0495
National Security5.955.97+0.0147
Human Capital15.0615.19+0.1312
Information & Influence11.8511.88+0.0254
Governance & Integrity14.0514.04−0.0106
Financial Strength11.3211.32+0.00111
Production & Innovation12.4012.40+0.0035
Trade & Investment13.1513.47+0.3225 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 357, plus 344 carried in. Maintenance 246. Spent 89 on actions (buy 71, partner 18). 367 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.08 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation18 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics18 credits for 1.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing18 credits for 1.43 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.43+1.430.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.03+1.030.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.97+0.980.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.84+0.730.000.00+0.10
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.75+0.730.000.00+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.67+0.680.000.00−0.01