Round 19 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.053 to 11.53.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.53 (−0.052)
In: 11.58
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
314
In: 342
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.1210.34+0.2185
Strategic Infrastructure9.789.71−0.0645
National Security6.076.17+0.1067
Human Capital15.0814.95−0.1312
Information & Influence12.1912.11−0.0724
Governance & Integrity13.9213.81−0.1096
Financial Strength11.1410.97−0.16811 → 13
Production & Innovation12.5512.39−0.1604
Trade & Investment13.4013.30−0.0945

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 315, plus 342 carried in. Maintenance 254. Spent 89 on actions (buy 54, partner 36). 314 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 0.97 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 1 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems18 credits for 1.44 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence18 credits for 1.26 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade18 credits for 1.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Information Environment & Strategic Communication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication18 credits for 1.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −9.6 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 11 to 13.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.27+1.440.00−0.170.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.98+1.260.00−0.36+0.08
Air Power+0.76+0.750.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.74+0.970.00−0.230.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.41+0.710.00−0.31+0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.39+0.730.00−0.340.00