Round 16 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.100 to 12.68.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.68 (+0.100)
In: 12.58
Rank by index
24
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
123
In: 144
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.7111.03+0.3235
Strategic Infrastructure11.1511.15+0.0024
National Security7.797.81+0.0206
Human Capital16.1316.19+0.0601
Information & Influence12.6513.13+0.4794 → 3
Governance & Integrity15.2815.28−0.0035
Financial Strength12.0812.08+0.00310
Production & Innovation13.2513.25+0.0014
Trade & Investment14.1714.19+0.0143

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 379, plus 144 carried in. Maintenance 303. Spent 97 on actions (buy 39, partner 58). 123 carried over.

  • BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 0 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy19 credits for 1.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.63+1.360.000.00+0.27
Energy Technologies+1.47+1.480.000.000.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.76+0.760.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.74+0.730.000.00+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.73+0.730.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.63+0.620.000.00+0.01