Round 3 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.086 to 11.72.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.72 (+0.086)
In: 11.63
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
81
In: 47
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.647.03+0.3947 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.86+0.0025
National Security7.547.54+0.0016
Human Capital14.6714.78+0.1103
Information & Influence10.7910.79+0.0046
Governance & Integrity15.4615.46+0.0023
Financial Strength13.1813.24+0.0648
Production & Innovation12.9713.13+0.1645
Trade & Investment12.6012.63+0.0356

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 363, plus 47 carried in. Maintenance 242. Spent 88 on actions (build 35, buy 35, partner 18). 81 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance18 credits for 0.51 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies18 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+2.10+2.100.000.000.00
Space Technologies+1.38+1.380.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.04+1.040.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.380.000.000.00+0.38
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.36+0.170.000.00+0.19