Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.323 to 11.32.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.32 (−0.323)
- In: 11.64
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 84
- In: 48
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.64 | 6.65 | +0.017 | 7 → 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.86 | 10.16 | −0.701 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 6.72 | −0.817 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.67 | 14.81 | +0.145 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.79 | 10.22 | −0.566 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.05 | −0.412 | 3 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.09 | 13.13 | +0.041 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.11 | 12.83 | −0.286 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.60 | 12.27 | −0.326 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 365, plus 48 carried in. Maintenance 242. Spent 88 on actions (build 35, buy 35, partner 18). 84 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -2 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 7 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies18 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 3 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance18 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling18 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 1 per cent
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −32.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.70 | +2.11 | 0.00 | −0.41 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.42 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.30 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.29 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.25 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.22 | 0.00 |