Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.093 to 11.41.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.41 (+0.093)
- In: 11.32
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 126
- In: 79
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.65 | 6.91 | +0.261 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.16 | 10.23 | +0.067 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.72 | 6.73 | +0.009 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.81 | 14.99 | +0.179 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.22 | 10.37 | +0.151 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.05 | 15.05 | +0.001 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.13 | 13.13 | 0.000 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.83 | 12.98 | +0.153 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.27 | 12.28 | +0.009 | 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 365, plus 79 carried in. Maintenance 227. Spent 91 on actions (build 18, buy 55, partner 18). 126 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 1.04 levelsmctsahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by -2 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.46 | +1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.30 | +1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.04 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.79 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Space Technologies | +0.67 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.67 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |