Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.088 to 11.67.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.67 (+0.088)
- In: 11.58
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 282
- In: 240
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.96 | 8.20 | +0.241 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.10 | 10.11 | +0.012 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.71 | 6.75 | +0.035 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.20 | 15.23 | +0.030 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.23 | 11.63 | +0.403 | 6 → 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.88 | 14.87 | −0.006 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 12.83 | 12.81 | −0.016 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.85 | 12.84 | −0.007 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.47 | 12.57 | +0.105 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 379, plus 240 carried in. Maintenance 240. Spent 97 on actions (build 19, buy 19, partner 58). 282 carried over.
- BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 0.66 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by -1 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.79 | +1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.47 | +1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.94 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.81 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.44 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.31 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |