Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.115 to 11.58.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.58 (−0.115)
- In: 11.70
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 253
- In: 205
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.73 | 7.96 | +0.233 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.42 | 10.10 | −0.324 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.80 | 6.71 | −0.085 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.30 | 15.20 | −0.100 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 10.99 | 11.23 | +0.242 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.04 | 14.88 | −0.163 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.18 | 12.83 | −0.346 | 8 → 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.12 | 12.85 | −0.266 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.70 | 12.47 | −0.232 | 6 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 387, plus 205 carried in. Maintenance 243. Spent 96 on actions (build 19, buy 57, partner 19). 253 carried over.
- BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 0.66 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by -1 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −17.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.67 | +1.81 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Energy Technologies | +1.47 | +1.80 | 0.00 | −0.33 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.42 | +1.67 | 0.00 | −0.32 | +0.07 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.61 | −0.02 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.57 | +0.85 | 0.00 | −0.28 | 0.00 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.49 | −0.03 |