Round 12 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.104 to 11.41.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.41 (+0.104)
In: 11.31
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
363
In: 329
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.548.90+0.3585
Strategic Infrastructure9.729.76+0.0345
National Security5.935.96+0.0295
Human Capital15.1415.13−0.0121
Information & Influence11.3311.33−0.0016
Governance & Integrity14.3114.29−0.0136
Financial Strength11.7711.76−0.00611
Production & Innovation12.4012.74+0.3355
Trade & Investment12.6012.81+0.2146 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 356, plus 329 carried in. Maintenance 234. Spent 89 on actions (buy 71, partner 18). 363 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Operations18 credits for 1.23 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion18 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing18 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.56+1.560.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.45+1.470.000.00−0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.12+1.130.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.92+0.940.000.00−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.71+0.720.000.00−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.70+0.730.000.00−0.03