Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.249 to 11.16.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.16 (−0.249)
- In: 11.41
- Rank by index
- 35
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 382
- In: 345
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.90 | 8.68 | −0.225 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.76 | 9.54 | −0.215 | 5 |
| National Security | 5.96 | 6.04 | +0.082 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.13 | 15.02 | −0.112 | 1 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.33 | 11.25 | −0.079 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.29 | 14.07 | −0.221 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.76 | 11.08 | −0.683 | 11 → 13 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.74 | 12.26 | −0.484 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.81 | 12.51 | −0.304 | 5 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 366, plus 345 carried in. Maintenance 240. Spent 89 on actions (build 36, partner 53). 382 carried over.
- BuildAir Power18 credits for 0.93 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication18 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position18 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling18 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication18 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −19.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 11 to 13; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.94 | +0.03 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | −0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.87 | −0.01 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.78 | −0.01 |
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | −0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.75 | −0.01 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.76 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.76 | 0.00 |