Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.045 to 11.48.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.48 (−0.045)
- In: 11.52
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 417
- In: 394
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.77 | 9.77 | +0.003 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.58 | 9.55 | −0.022 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.42 | 6.47 | +0.044 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.09 | 15.07 | −0.020 | 1 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.86 | 11.80 | −0.060 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.03 | 13.92 | −0.108 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.43 | 11.24 | −0.180 | 11 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.38 | 12.21 | −0.170 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.13 | 13.24 | +0.111 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 363, plus 394 carried in. Maintenance 249. Spent 90 on actions (build 18, buy 36, partner 36). 417 carried over.
- BuildAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing18 credits for 0.84 levelsmctsahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics18 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy18 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation18 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −28.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.02 | +1.22 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.89 | +1.00 | 0.00 | −0.10 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.61 | +0.76 | 0.00 | −0.18 | +0.03 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.57 | +0.75 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 0.00 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.56 | +0.73 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.51 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 |