Round 17 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.063 to 11.52.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.52 (+0.064)
In: 11.46
Rank by index
32
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
414
In: 389
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.659.77+0.1185
Strategic Infrastructure9.539.58+0.0505
National Security6.386.42+0.0425
Human Capital15.0815.09+0.0172 → 1
Information & Influence11.7511.86+0.1114
Governance & Integrity14.0414.03−0.0096
Financial Strength11.3911.43+0.03211
Production & Innovation12.3812.38−0.0025
Trade & Investment12.9213.13+0.2116 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 361, plus 389 carried in. Maintenance 246. Spent 90 on actions (build 18, buy 18, partner 54). 414 carried over.

  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 0.50 levelsmctsahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence18 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies18 credits for 1.01 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Technologies+1.03+1.020.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.75+0.760.000.00−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.75+0.750.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.65+0.620.000.00+0.02
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.54+0.550.000.00−0.01
Maritime Power+0.42+0.410.000.00+0.01