Round 6 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.130 to 12.09.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.09 (+0.130)
In: 11.96
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
175
In: 141
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.668.15+0.4955
Strategic Infrastructure11.0111.03+0.0195
National Security7.597.72+0.1376
Human Capital15.1815.32+0.1472 → 1
Information & Influence11.3611.37+0.0166
Governance & Integrity15.4615.46+0.0013
Financial Strength13.3313.34+0.0108
Production & Innovation13.2213.30+0.0795
Trade & Investment12.8313.10+0.2626

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 385, plus 141 carried in. Maintenance 256. Spent 95 on actions (buy 57, partner 38). 175 carried over.

  • BuySpace Operations19 credits for 1.50 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+2.04+1.960.000.00+0.08
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.93+1.930.000.000.00
Space Operations+1.00+0.750.000.00+0.25
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.95+0.930.000.00+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.79+0.780.000.00+0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.65+0.650.000.000.00