Round 8 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.150 to 12.35.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.35 (+0.150)
In: 12.20
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
220
In: 189
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.338.91+0.5745
Strategic Infrastructure11.1111.20+0.0895
National Security7.877.92+0.0506
Human Capital15.4015.48+0.0791
Information & Influence11.6912.01+0.3226 → 5
Governance & Integrity15.4715.47+0.0023
Financial Strength13.3813.44+0.0647
Production & Innovation13.3113.47+0.1535
Trade & Investment13.2413.26+0.0156

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 397, plus 189 carried in. Maintenance 268. Spent 98 on actions (build 20, buy 78). 220 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.54 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by -5 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies20 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.79+1.790.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.76+1.760.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.31+1.310.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.02+1.020.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.98+0.940.000.00+0.04
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.84+0.840.000.000.00