Round 9 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.122 to 12.47.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.47 (+0.122)
In: 12.35
Rank by index
25
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
242
In: 209
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.919.12+0.2165
Strategic Infrastructure11.2011.24+0.0435
National Security7.927.96+0.0436
Human Capital15.4815.54+0.0601
Information & Influence12.0112.43+0.4185
Governance & Integrity15.4715.49+0.0193
Financial Strength13.4413.56+0.1217 → 2
Production & Innovation13.4713.50+0.0355
Trade & Investment13.2613.40+0.1426

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 410, plus 209 carried in. Maintenance 277. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, buy 40, partner 40). 242 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.54 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -6 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing20 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks20 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +4.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 7 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.79+1.780.00+0.010.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.67+1.640.00+0.01+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.81+0.800.00+0.010.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.75+0.700.00+0.01+0.04
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.68+0.540.00+0.01+0.13
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.34+0.330.00+0.010.00