Round 16 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.140 to 13.37.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.37 (+0.140)
In: 13.23
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
315
In: 316
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.2211.31+0.0855
Strategic Infrastructure11.6211.71+0.0835 → 4
National Security8.348.37+0.0316
Human Capital16.3116.39+0.0781
Information & Influence13.3713.77+0.3983
Governance & Integrity15.5715.57+0.0023
Financial Strength13.8314.10+0.2781
Production & Innovation14.0414.21+0.1653 → 2
Trade & Investment14.7714.90+0.1363

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 446, plus 316 carried in. Maintenance 336. Spent 111 on actions (buy 89, partner 22). 315 carried over.

  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power22 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance22 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure22 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 1 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies22 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.66+1.610.000.00+0.04
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.61+1.610.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.01+0.990.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.81+0.800.000.00+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.72+0.700.000.00+0.01
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.62+0.600.000.00+0.02