Round 15 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.149 to 13.23.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.23 (+0.149)
In: 13.08
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
333
In: 324
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.6711.22+0.5555
Strategic Infrastructure11.6011.62+0.0215
National Security8.298.34+0.0506
Human Capital16.2116.31+0.1041
Information & Influence13.1513.37+0.2173
Governance & Integrity15.5715.57+0.0033
Financial Strength13.8213.83+0.0011
Production & Innovation14.0214.04+0.0193
Trade & Investment14.3914.77+0.3724 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 446, plus 324 carried in. Maintenance 325. Spent 111 on actions (buy 67, partner 45). 333 carried over.

  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks22 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies22 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems22 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.78+1.740.000.00+0.04
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.71+1.690.000.00+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.19+1.190.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.87+0.820.000.00+0.05
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.83+0.820.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.81+0.800.000.00+0.01