Round 18 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.116 to 13.59.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.59 (+0.115)
In: 13.47
Rank by index
21
In: 21
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
276
In: 284
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.7611.86+0.0984
Strategic Infrastructure11.7911.81+0.0194
National Security8.418.45+0.0436
Human Capital16.4116.56+0.1441
Information & Influence13.7813.94+0.1623
Governance & Integrity15.5815.58+0.0033
Financial Strength14.1314.14+0.0101
Production & Innovation14.2314.46+0.2272
Trade & Investment15.1615.50+0.3363 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 458, plus 284 carried in. Maintenance 353. Spent 114 on actions (build 23, buy 45, partner 45). 276 carried over.

  • BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.10 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by -4 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation23 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy23 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion23 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access23 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.51+1.500.000.00+0.01
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.16+1.100.000.00+0.06
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.87+0.800.000.00+0.06
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.82+0.800.000.00+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.73+0.730.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.71+0.660.000.00+0.05