Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.109 to 13.70.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.70 (+0.109)
- In: 13.59
- Rank by index
- 21
- In: 21
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 245
- In: 262
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.86 | 12.29 | +0.428 | 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.81 | 11.83 | +0.019 | 4 |
| National Security | 8.45 | 8.57 | +0.118 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 16.56 | 16.58 | +0.020 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.94 | 14.09 | +0.153 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.58 | 15.58 | +0.004 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 14.14 | 14.15 | +0.002 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 14.46 | 14.47 | +0.013 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.50 | 15.72 | +0.223 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 461, plus 262 carried in. Maintenance 363. Spent 115 on actions (buy 69, partner 46). 245 carried over.
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation23 credits for 1.56 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 2 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAir Power23 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics23 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies23 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.90 | +1.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.61 | +1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Air Power | +0.83 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.82 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.75 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.72 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |