Round 20 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.119 to 13.82.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.82 (+0.119)
In: 13.70
Rank by index
19
In: 21
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
201
In: 232
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.2912.95+0.6654 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure11.8311.85+0.0234
National Security8.578.76+0.1906
Human Capital16.5816.60+0.0191
Information & Influence14.0914.11+0.0193
Governance & Integrity15.5815.59+0.0033
Financial Strength14.1514.15+0.0011
Production & Innovation14.4714.49+0.0162
Trade & Investment15.7215.85+0.1321

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 461, plus 232 carried in. Maintenance 377. Spent 115 on actions (buy 115). 201 carried over.

  • BuyMaritime Power23 credits for 1.60 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by -2 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies23 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing23 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence23 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems23 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.57+1.540.000.00+0.02
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.55+1.530.000.00+0.02
Artificial Intelligence+1.52+1.370.000.00+0.15
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.05+1.050.000.000.00
Air Power+0.83+0.810.000.00+0.02
Maritime Power+0.81+0.800.000.00+0.01