Round 19 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.104 to 12.70.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.70 (+0.104)
In: 12.60
Rank by index
24
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 1
Credits carried
292
In: 275
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.9111.21+0.2985 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure10.8510.90+0.0455 → 4
National Security7.587.66+0.0806
Human Capital15.8115.85+0.0361
Information & Influence12.8913.03+0.1474 → 3
Governance & Integrity14.8914.89−0.0065
Financial Strength13.1213.14+0.0262 → 1
Production & Innovation13.0913.30+0.2134 → 3
Trade & Investment14.2114.30+0.0952

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 427, plus 275 carried in. Maintenance 305. Spent 105 on actions (buy 84, partner 21). 292 carried over.

  • BuySpace Operations21 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 4; Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.55+1.540.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.52+1.520.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.39+1.410.000.00−0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.80+0.780.000.00+0.02
Space Operations+0.76+0.790.000.00−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.65+0.650.000.000.00