Round 10 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.120 to 11.20.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.20 (+0.121)
In: 11.08
Rank by index
34
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
342
In: 288
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.347.73+0.3906 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure9.669.68+0.0175
National Security6.056.11+0.0577
Human Capital15.3015.33+0.0341
Information & Influence10.5610.99+0.4286
Governance & Integrity14.3314.32−0.0066
Financial Strength12.0312.09+0.0598
Production & Innovation12.4412.43−0.0025
Trade & Investment12.0212.13+0.1087

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 371, plus 288 carried in. Maintenance 220. Spent 97 on actions (buy 39, partner 58). 342 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence19 credits for 0.65 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 2 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.83+1.740.000.00+0.09
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.38+1.380.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.96+0.910.000.00+0.05
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.83+0.840.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.79+0.810.000.00−0.02
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.78+0.740.000.00+0.04