Round 12 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.112 to 11.41.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.41 (+0.113)
In: 11.30
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
410
In: 362
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.368.79+0.4305
Strategic Infrastructure9.679.73+0.0555
National Security6.166.18+0.0175
Human Capital15.3215.32−0.0071
Information & Influence11.1111.38+0.2666
Governance & Integrity14.3114.30−0.0126
Financial Strength12.0912.08−0.0048
Production & Innovation12.4112.41−0.0035
Trade & Investment12.2212.49+0.2707 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 375, plus 362 carried in. Maintenance 233. Spent 94 on actions (buy 94). 410 carried over.

  • BuyInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 0.98 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.71+1.710.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+1.69+1.700.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.58+1.590.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.97+0.980.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.87+0.860.000.00+0.01
Space Technologies+0.60+0.600.000.00+0.01