Round 2 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.116 to 11.66.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.66 (+0.116)
In: 11.55
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
55
In: 24
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.256.74+0.4947
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5914.71+0.1213
Information & Influence10.5710.95+0.3816
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.0813.11+0.0329
Production & Innovation12.9712.98+0.0155
Trade & Investment12.6012.60+0.0026

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 356, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 238. Spent 87 on actions (buy 69, partner 17). 55 carried over.

  • BuyTechnical & Vocational Skills17 credits for 0.74 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 6 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence17 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.29+2.290.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.88+1.880.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.61+1.610.000.000.00
Space Technologies+1.45+1.450.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.08+1.080.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.190.000.000.00+0.19