Round 16 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-greedy-marginal

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 44 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 3 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.107 to 17.79.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.79 (−0.107)
In: 17.89
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 6
Credits carried
0
In: 10
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology17.2317.11−0.1282
Strategic Infrastructure16.5916.36−0.2302 → 1
National Security16.4716.15−0.3132 → 3
Human Capital19.6019.65+0.0541
Information & Influence18.7118.49−0.2171
Governance & Integrity18.1518.05−0.1051
Financial Strength17.1917.22+0.0321
Production & Innovation18.3018.29−0.0181
Trade & Investment18.8018.77−0.0351

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,023, plus 10 carried in. Maintenance 916. Spent 116 on actions (build 63, partner 53). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection53 credits for 1.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance53 credits for 0.96 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 3 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption11 credits for 0.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Financial System Depth & Access by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; National Security Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.71+0.860.00−0.16+0.01
Business Dynamism & Entrepreneurship+0.59+0.710.00−0.12+0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.540.000.00−0.540.00
Intelligence & Assessment−0.530.000.00−0.530.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.520.000.00−0.53+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation−0.520.000.00−0.54+0.02