Round 19 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-greedy-marginal

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 44 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.132 to 17.76.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.76 (+0.132)
In: 17.63
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
10
In: 7
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology17.0117.30+0.2892
Strategic Infrastructure16.7116.88+0.1701
National Security16.1916.19−0.0033
Human Capital19.5719.61+0.0341
Information & Influence18.3018.31+0.0031
Governance & Integrity17.9317.99+0.0581
Financial Strength16.7416.83+0.0831
Production & Innovation17.8218.10+0.2761
Trade & Investment18.3418.62+0.2771

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,016, plus 7 carried in. Maintenance 815. Spent 198 on actions (buy 94, partner 104). 10 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access52 credits for 2.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 4 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics52 credits for 1.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion52 credits for 1.86 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 14 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing21 credits for 0.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 0.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +4.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.89+1.860.00+0.03+0.01
Resource Infrastructure+1.05+1.020.00+0.01+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.02+1.030.00+0.01−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.96+0.960.00+0.01−0.01
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.95+0.920.00+0.01+0.02
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.93+0.920.00+0.010.00