Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.031 to 17.18.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.18 (−0.030)
- In: 17.21
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 5
- Credits carried
- 481
- In: 457
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.42 | 16.36 | −0.063 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.11 | 16.01 | −0.097 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.29 | 16.23 | −0.065 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 18.65 | 18.75 | +0.105 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.36 | 17.53 | +0.168 | 2 → 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.52 | 16.52 | −0.005 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.64 | 17.57 | −0.070 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.96 | 16.87 | −0.096 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.93 | 18.77 | −0.152 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,063, plus 457 carried in. Maintenance 783. Spent 256 on actions (build 205, partner 51). 481 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance51 credits for 0.74 levelsmctsahead of Population Health by 0 per cent
- BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration51 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEarly Childhood Development51 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPopulation Health51 credits for 2.17 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance51 credits for 2.06 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −8.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early Childhood Development | +0.93 | +1.10 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.91 | +1.09 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.71 | +0.69 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.16 |
| Government Effectiveness & Public Administration | +0.49 | +0.62 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.01 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.34 | +0.46 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.32 | 0.00 |