Round 9 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.224 to 17.07.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.07 (−0.224)
In: 17.30
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
450
In: 452
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.4416.31−0.1342
Strategic Infrastructure16.0815.87−0.2132
National Security16.2315.69−0.5462 → 3
Human Capital18.9419.05+0.1161
Information & Influence17.8017.41−0.3891
Governance & Integrity16.7016.53−0.1661
Financial Strength17.6417.03−0.6161
Production & Innovation16.8917.00+0.1151
Trade & Investment18.9418.75−0.1861

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,075, plus 452 carried in. Maintenance 811. Spent 267 on actions (build 160, buy 53, partner 53). 450 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Operations53 credits for 1.65 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence53 credits for 2.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base53 credits for 2.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLabour & Employment53 credits for 2.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity53 credits for 2.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −9.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −19.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.92+2.310.00−0.40+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.010.000.00−1.010.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.830.000.00−0.830.00
Intelligence & Assessment−0.820.000.00−0.84+0.02
Early Childhood Development+0.81+1.100.00−0.050.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.780.000.00−0.85+0.08