Round 14 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.114 to 17.56.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.56 (+0.114)
In: 17.45
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 6
Credits carried
235
In: 281
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.6816.70+0.0182
Strategic Infrastructure16.2516.42+0.1692 → 1
National Security16.0116.02+0.0173
Human Capital19.3219.34+0.0241
Information & Influence18.2318.23+0.0031
Governance & Integrity17.8118.12+0.3091
Financial Strength16.8116.96+0.1531
Production & Innovation17.5717.76+0.1841
Trade & Investment18.3618.52+0.1541

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,011, plus 281 carried in. Maintenance 795. Spent 262 on actions (build 210, partner 52). 235 carried over.

  • BuildSpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure52 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence52 credits for 2.07 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance52 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFinancial Infrastructure52 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFinancial System Depth & Access52 credits for 2.04 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.04+1.040.000.00+0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.91+1.160.000.00+0.02
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+0.80+0.790.000.00+0.01
Financial System Depth & Access+0.68+0.680.000.000.00
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.64+0.640.000.00+0.01