Round 3 · simulation 36 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 36 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.148 to 16.71.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index: 16.71 (+0.148); In: 16.57
Rank by index: 2; In: 3
Domains at Tier 1: 3; In: 3
Credits carried: 289; In: 191

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	16.20	16.24	+0.038	3
Strategic Infrastructure	16.03	16.03	0.000	2
National Security	16.28	16.28	0.000	2
Human Capital	17.13	17.92	+0.789	1
Information & Influence	17.15	17.15	0.000	2
Governance & Integrity	16.48	16.48	0.000	1
Financial Strength	17.36	17.42	+0.063	2
Production & Innovation	15.92	16.35	+0.437	1
Trade & Investment	16.54	16.54	0.000	3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 951, plus 191 carried in. Maintenance 615. Spent 238 on actions (build 190, buy 48). 289 carried over.

BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance48 credits for 1.15 levelsmctsahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills48 credits for 2.84 levelsmcts_fill
BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling48 credits for 3.00 levelsmcts_fill
BuildFoundational Education48 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion48 credits for 3.06 levelsmcts_fill

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested
Technology Adoption & Diffusion	+3.06	+3.06
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling	+2.15	+2.15
Technical & Vocational Skills	+2.10	+2.10
Foundational Education	+1.33	+1.33
Digital & AI Competence	+1.14	+1.14
Advanced Education	+0.39	+0.39