Round 4 · simulation 36 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 36 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.145 to 16.86.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.86 (+0.145)
In: 16.71
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
357
In: 275
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2416.28+0.0423
Strategic Infrastructure16.0316.030.0002
National Security16.2816.280.0002
Human Capital17.9218.34+0.4181
Information & Influence17.1517.15+0.0042
Governance & Integrity16.4816.48+0.0021
Financial Strength17.4217.57+0.1532 → 1
Production & Innovation16.3516.45+0.0991
Trade & Investment16.5417.13+0.5913 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 959, plus 275 carried in. Maintenance 639. Spent 238 on actions (build 48, partner 190). 357 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance48 credits for 1.04 levelsmctsahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access48 credits for 2.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity48 credits for 2.07 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication48 credits for 2.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position48 credits for 2.68 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.41+1.410.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.39+1.390.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+1.34+1.340.000.000.00
Foundational Education+1.33+1.330.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.90+0.900.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.83+2.150.000.000.00