Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 36 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.084 to 16.77.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.77 (−0.084)
- In: 16.86
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 423
- In: 339
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.28 | 15.96 | −0.329 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.03 | 15.87 | −0.159 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.12 | −0.161 | 2 → 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.34 | 18.24 | −0.097 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.15 | 16.80 | −0.357 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.48 | 16.29 | −0.194 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.57 | 17.39 | −0.182 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.45 | 16.31 | −0.139 | 1 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.13 | 17.99 | +0.861 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 991, plus 339 carried in. Maintenance 668. Spent 240 on actions (build 48, partner 192). 423 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity48 credits for 1.89 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence48 credits for 2.85 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection48 credits for 2.23 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication48 credits for 2.20 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics48 credits for 2.23 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −20.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +2.11 | +2.49 | 0.00 | −0.38 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.14 | +1.32 | 0.00 | −0.30 | +0.12 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.11 | +1.43 | 0.00 | −0.38 | +0.06 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.04 | +1.41 | 0.00 | −0.37 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.99 | +1.34 | 0.00 | −0.38 | +0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.76 | +1.12 | 0.00 | −0.37 | +0.01 |