Round 9 · simulation 36 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 36 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.169 to 17.47.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.47 (+0.169)
In: 17.30
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
479
In: 505
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.5116.55+0.0382
Strategic Infrastructure16.2016.31+0.1102
National Security16.2316.33+0.0973
Human Capital18.6318.83+0.1971
Information & Influence17.9518.01+0.0581
Governance & Integrity16.5916.82+0.2311
Financial Strength17.5317.61+0.0781
Production & Innovation16.8717.32+0.4491
Trade & Investment19.2319.50+0.2631

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,102, plus 505 carried in. Maintenance 862. Spent 266 on actions (build 266). 479 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance53 credits for 0.64 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption53 credits for 2.08 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base53 credits for 2.34 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity53 credits for 2.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPopulation Health53 credits for 2.20 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +4.6 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & Services Trade+1.36+1.160.00+0.15+0.04
Labour & Employment+0.97+0.870.00+0.07+0.03
Population Health+0.96+0.890.00+0.070.00
Space Operations+0.94+0.960.000.00−0.02
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.92+0.850.00+0.070.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.85+0.780.00+0.070.00