Round 10 · simulation 36 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 36 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.182 to 17.66.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.66 (+0.182)
In: 17.47
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 6
Credits carried
390
In: 455
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.5516.61+0.0602
Strategic Infrastructure16.3116.42+0.1052 → 1
National Security16.3316.44+0.1103
Human Capital18.8319.08+0.2471
Information & Influence18.0118.21+0.2021
Governance & Integrity16.8217.13+0.3111
Financial Strength17.6117.68+0.0781
Production & Innovation17.3217.76+0.4481
Trade & Investment19.5019.57+0.0771

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,111, plus 455 carried in. Maintenance 901. Spent 276 on actions (build 220, buy 55). 390 carried over.

  • BuyStrategic Strike & Missile Defence55 credits for 2.01 levelsmctsahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 0 per cent
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation55 credits for 1.92 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption55 credits for 2.09 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDiaspora & Global Communities55 credits for 2.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildHealth System Capability55 credits for 2.11 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +4.6 points this round.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence+0.99+1.000.000.00−0.01
Population Health+0.97+0.890.00+0.070.00
Labour & Employment+0.97+0.870.00+0.07+0.03
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.93+0.850.00+0.070.00
Diaspora & Global Communities+0.91+0.870.00+0.040.00
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption+0.91+0.830.00+0.070.00