Round 11 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.169 to 17.91.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.91 (+0.169)
In: 17.74
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
225
In: 325
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.9517.04+0.0872
Strategic Infrastructure16.5916.78+0.1821
National Security16.7416.86+0.1292
Human Capital19.2419.40+0.1591
Information & Influence17.7217.90+0.1731
Governance & Integrity17.3117.62+0.3121
Financial Strength17.8217.83+0.0081
Production & Innovation17.8718.16+0.2891
Trade & Investment19.3919.57+0.1841

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,093, plus 325 carried in. Maintenance 920. Spent 273 on actions (build 164, buy 109). 225 carried over.

  • BuyStrategic Strike & Missile Defence55 credits for 1.93 levelsmctsahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by 0 per cent
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights55 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildHealth System Capability55 credits for 1.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability55 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Manufacturing55 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +4.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & Services Trade+1.14+1.080.00+0.01+0.05
Advanced Manufacturing+1.00+0.940.00+0.01+0.05
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence+1.00+0.970.000.00+0.03
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.93+0.860.00+0.01+0.05
Labour & Employment+0.91+0.870.00+0.01+0.02
Diaspora & Global Communities+0.89+0.880.00+0.01+0.01