Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.137 to 18.04.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 18.04 (+0.137)
- In: 17.91
- Rank by index
- 1
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 111
- In: 214
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 17.04 | 17.12 | +0.083 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.78 | 16.96 | +0.182 | 1 |
| National Security | 16.86 | 16.99 | +0.129 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 19.40 | 19.51 | +0.110 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.90 | 18.19 | +0.295 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 17.62 | 17.98 | +0.355 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.83 | 17.84 | +0.009 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 18.16 | 18.20 | +0.038 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 19.57 | 19.60 | +0.034 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,127, plus 214 carried in. Maintenance 956. Spent 273 on actions (build 219, partner 55). 111 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance55 credits for 0.55 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation55 credits for 2.03 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure55 credits for 2.04 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption55 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance55 credits for 1.85 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +0.8 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.03 | +1.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Manufacturing | +1.00 | +0.94 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | +0.99 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Health System Capability | +0.85 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.06 |
| Transparency, Oversight & Accountability | +0.78 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption | +0.76 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |