Round 14 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 2 actions, and the index +0.207 to 18.51.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index: 18.51 (+0.208); In: 18.31
Rank by index: 1; In: 1
Domains at Tier 1: 7; In: 7
Credits carried: 3; In: 2

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	17.60	17.81	+0.207	2
Strategic Infrastructure	17.24	17.57	+0.331	1
National Security	17.25	17.52	+0.263	2
Human Capital	19.68	19.79	+0.109	1
Information & Influence	18.49	18.67	+0.177	1
Governance & Integrity	18.39	18.73	+0.344	1
Financial Strength	18.02	18.19	+0.175	1
Production & Innovation	18.36	18.55	+0.182	1
Trade & Investment	19.73	19.80	+0.076	1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,162, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 1,093. Spent 68 on actions (build 68). 3 carried over.

BuildResource Infrastructure56 credits for 2.18 levelsmctsahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
BuildBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship11 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +10.9 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Events	Graph
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure	+1.19	+1.02	+0.16	+0.01
Force Generation & Mobilisation	+1.15	+1.03	+0.13	−0.01
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power	+0.73	+0.65	+0.07	+0.01
Resource Infrastructure	+0.69	+0.54	+0.15	0.00
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability	+0.66	+0.76	+0.15	+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance	+0.58	+0.62	+0.07	0.00