Round 13 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.262 to 18.31.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
18.31 (+0.262)
In: 18.04
Rank by index
1
In: 1
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
2
In: 106
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology17.1217.60+0.4812
Strategic Infrastructure16.9617.24+0.2771
National Security16.9917.25+0.2582
Human Capital19.5119.68+0.1671
Information & Influence18.1918.49+0.2991
Governance & Integrity17.9818.39+0.4141
Financial Strength17.8418.02+0.1751
Production & Innovation18.2018.36+0.1651
Trade & Investment19.6019.73+0.1241

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,127, plus 106 carried in. Maintenance 994. Spent 237 on actions (build 124, buy 113). 2 carried over.

  • BuildSovereign Capital & External Financial Power56 credits for 1.95 levelsmctsahead of Force Generation & Mobilisation by 0 per cent
  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure56 credits for 2.02 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyForce Generation & Mobilisation56 credits for 2.06 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies56 credits for 2.51 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks11 credits for 0.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +30.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+2.66+2.510.00+0.150.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+1.19+1.020.00+0.16+0.02
Force Generation & Mobilisation+1.16+1.030.00+0.130.00
Health System Capability+0.97+0.780.00+0.15+0.05
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+0.91+0.760.00+0.15+0.01
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.89+0.730.00+0.15+0.01