Round 16 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 0 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.028 to 18.70.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
18.70 (+0.028)
In: 18.68
Rank by index
1
In: 1
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology18.0117.90−0.1082
Strategic Infrastructure17.9018.08+0.1791
National Security17.6817.72+0.0392
Human Capital19.8419.86+0.0131
Information & Influence18.7518.77+0.0241
Governance & Integrity18.9319.05+0.1291
Financial Strength18.3618.360.0001
Production & Innovation18.7218.73+0.0041
Trade & Investment19.8719.85−0.0231

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,099. Maintenance 1,099 of the 1,252 needed, so 12 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over.

  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +15.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Resource Infrastructure+0.58+0.54−0.05+0.09+0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+0.50+0.51−0.07+0.09+0.01
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption+0.39+0.32−0.03+0.09+0.07
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.200.00−0.03+0.18+0.05
Internal Security & Order+0.180.00−0.02+0.18+0.03
Energy Infrastructure+0.170.00−0.06+0.18+0.05