Round 17 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 0 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.023 to 18.68.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
18.68 (−0.023)
In: 18.70
Rank by index
1
In: 1
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology17.9017.82−0.0822
Strategic Infrastructure18.0818.14+0.0561
National Security17.7217.74+0.0162
Human Capital19.8619.85−0.0051
Information & Influence18.7718.78+0.0101
Governance & Integrity19.0519.11+0.0551
Financial Strength18.3618.29−0.0791
Production & Innovation18.7318.65−0.0771
Trade & Investment19.8519.75−0.1031

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,132. Maintenance 1,132 of the 1,256 needed, so 10 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over.

  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −4.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Resource Infrastructure+0.53+0.54−0.05+0.02+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.160.00−0.07−0.13+0.04
Internal Security & Order+0.150.00−0.02+0.14+0.03
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.140.00−0.02+0.11+0.05
Financial System Depth & Access−0.130.00−0.04−0.10+0.01
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure+0.120.00−0.04+0.02+0.14