Round 9 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-score-sum

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.233 to 17.06.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.06 (−0.233)
In: 17.29
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
405
In: 408
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.6716.46−0.2112
Strategic Infrastructure16.1215.87−0.2482
National Security16.3415.78−0.5622 → 3
Human Capital18.7018.84+0.1461
Information & Influence17.6817.30−0.3861
Governance & Integrity16.7016.53−0.1671
Financial Strength17.6517.04−0.6091
Production & Innovation16.9117.03+0.1201
Trade & Investment18.8818.70−0.1801

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,079, plus 408 carried in. Maintenance 814. Spent 268 on actions (build 161, buy 54, partner 54). 405 carried over.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base54 credits for 2.32 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Force Generation & Mobilisation by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence54 credits for 2.28 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Labour & Employment by 0 per cent
  • BuildLabour & Employment54 credits for 2.59 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade54 credits for 2.19 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Structural Transformation & Complexity by 0 per cent
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity54 credits for 2.53 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Justice System & Fundamental Rights by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −9.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −19.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.93+2.280.00−0.40+0.05
Early Childhood Development+1.07+1.130.00−0.050.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.010.000.00−1.010.00
Intelligence & Assessment−0.830.000.00−0.84+0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.830.000.00−0.830.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.780.000.00−0.85+0.07