Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.212 to 16.64.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.64 (+0.212)
- In: 16.43
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 289
- In: 189
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.21 | 16.22 | +0.012 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.83 | 15.94 | +0.103 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.20 | 16.29 | +0.087 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 17.07 | 17.80 | +0.734 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.97 | 17.07 | +0.103 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.38 | 16.49 | +0.108 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.15 | 17.18 | +0.033 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.76 | 16.24 | +0.483 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.32 | 16.57 | +0.248 | 3 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 938, plus 189 carried in. Maintenance 601. Spent 238 on actions (build 95, buy 48, partner 95). 289 carried over.
- PartnerFoundational Education48 credits for 1.37 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling48 credits for 3.06 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education48 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion48 credits for 3.12 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access48 credits for 2.98 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +13.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +3.16 | +3.12 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +2.21 | +2.17 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.53 | +1.49 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +1.45 | +1.41 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.17 | +1.13 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.82 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |