Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.208 to 16.85.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.85 (+0.208)
- In: 16.64
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 373
- In: 274
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.22 | 16.23 | +0.010 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.94 | 16.03 | +0.096 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.29 | 16.41 | +0.116 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 17.80 | 18.33 | +0.532 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.07 | 17.17 | +0.102 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.49 | 16.59 | +0.108 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.18 | 17.32 | +0.142 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.24 | 16.38 | +0.132 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.57 | 17.20 | +0.629 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 968, plus 274 carried in. Maintenance 635. Spent 235 on actions (build 94, partner 141). 373 carried over.
- BuildSpace Operations47 credits for 1.25 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity47 credits for 2.06 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication47 credits for 2.76 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance47 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position47 credits for 2.70 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +4.6 points this round.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foundational Education | +1.45 | +1.41 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.42 | +1.35 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.41 | +1.49 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.41 | +1.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.88 | +2.17 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.82 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |