Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.169 to 17.05.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.05 (+0.170)
- In: 16.88
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 382
- In: 327
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.16 | 16.16 | 0.000 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.03 | 16.03 | +0.001 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.28 | 0.000 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 18.57 | 18.63 | +0.061 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.15 | 17.16 | +0.007 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.48 | 16.48 | +0.003 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.45 | 17.58 | +0.126 | 2 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.45 | 16.70 | +0.246 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.32 | 18.40 | +1.082 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 976, plus 327 carried in. Maintenance 683. Spent 238 on actions (partner 238). 382 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity48 credits for 1.62 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence48 credits for 2.83 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection48 credits for 2.21 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication48 credits for 2.18 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics48 credits for 2.21 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +2.48 | +2.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.63 | +1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.48 | +1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.37 | +1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.13 | +1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +1.11 | +1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |